Wed, Mar 25 2026 • 01:30 • Estadio Ruben Deras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.20) 2.86 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.5% 16.8% 54.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.3%
1 - 3
6.9%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Génesis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético Choloma 0 1.0% 3.0% 4.3% 4.1% 2.9% 1.7%
1 1.8% 5.1% 7.3% 6.9% 5.0% 2.8%
2 1.5% 4.3% 6.2% 5.9% 4.2% 2.4%
3 0.9% 2.4% 3.5% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlético CholomaGénesis
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack24%29%
Defense53%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlético Choloma Génesis
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins25%6%16%24%13%19%
Draws25%19%22%35%27%31%
Loses50%75%63%41%60%50%

Form: Atlético Choloma: LDLLWLLLWLLWLDLLLLLLLDDDLLWLLDDW • Génesis: LWLLLWLDDDLLLDWWLLDDLLDDLDWLWDLL

League goals

Metric Atlético Choloma Génesis
HATHAT
GF total191231202040
GF avg1.20.81.01.21.31.3
GA total373572292655
GA avg2.32.22.31.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlético CholomaGénesis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%94%72%88%
1.531%56%31%56%
2.53%41%9%19%
3.53%19%6%6%
4.53%6%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlético CholomaGénesis
HATHAT
Clean sheets112404
Failed to score6814639

Penalties

MetricAtlético CholomaGénesis
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricAtlético CholomaGénesis
Wins12
Draws33
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-26-22-4
Biggest losses2-76-20-54-3
Goals For5264
Goals Against7654

Model comparison

MetricAtlético CholomaGénesis
Form56%44%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Génesis

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away4.06 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlético Choloma = 1.70 (league 1.20), Génesis = 2.86 (league 1.04)

Génesis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético Choloma 0 1.0% 3.0% 4.3% 4.1% 2.9% 1.7%
1 1.8% 5.1% 7.3% 6.9% 5.0% 2.8%
2 1.5% 4.3% 6.2% 5.9% 4.2% 2.4%
3 0.9% 2.4% 3.5% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.5% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 54.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1