First League — Russia
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:00 • Stadion Urozhay
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.21) 1.05 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.4% 24.6% 24.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 6.8% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.2% 11.7% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak KostromaChayka
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack38%46%
Defense38%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Kostroma Chayka
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins27%50%39%8%18%13%
Draws45%33%39%25%27%26%
Loses27%17%22%67%55%61%

Form: Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWWDWWWDDDLDWLLDLDD • Chayka: WDDDLLLLLLLDDWLLLLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Spartak Kostroma Chayka
HATHAT
GF total12223491120
GF avg1.11.81.50.81.00.9
GA total121628272047
GA avg1.11.31.22.31.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak KostromaChayka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%91%57%78%
1.548%22%22%52%
2.517%9%9%39%
3.54%0%0%26%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak KostromaChayka
HATHAT
Clean sheets022235
Failed to score3255510

Penalties

MetricSpartak KostromaChayka
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSpartak KostromaChayka
Wins41
Draws33
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-41-00-3
Biggest losses0-23-20-64-0
Goals For3423
Goals Against2364

Model comparison

MetricSpartak KostromaChayka
Form43%57%
Att45%55%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h88%13%
Goals64%36%
Total60.0%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : Spartak Kostroma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ 1xBet
Draw4.07 @ 1xBet
Away7.06 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.71 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Marathonbet
No1.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Kostroma = 1.64 (league 1.21), Chayka = 1.05 (league 1.05)

Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 6.8% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.2% 11.7% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 24.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1