First League — Russia
Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 16:30 • Arena Khimki
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.22) 2.31 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.8% 18.4% 63.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
9.8%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
FK Neftekhimik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torpedo Moskva 0 3.7% 8.5% 9.8% 7.5% 4.3% 2.0%
1 3.7% 8.5% 9.7% 7.5% 4.3% 2.0%
2 1.8% 4.2% 4.8% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
3 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorpedo MoskvaFK Neftekhimik
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack42%67%
Defense67%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torpedo Moskva FK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
Played111223121022
Wins27%25%26%33%30%32%
Draws27%25%26%42%50%45%
Loses45%50%48%25%20%23%

Form: Torpedo Moskva: LDLLWLLDDLLWLDDWLDWLWWL • FK Neftekhimik: DDDWLLDLDWWWDLDLDDWWDW

League goals

Metric Torpedo Moskva FK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
GF total12719111627
GF avg1.10.60.80.91.61.2
GA total161531131124
GA avg1.51.31.31.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorpedo MoskvaFK Neftekhimik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%65%77%59%
1.526%43%27%23%
2.54%22%9%18%
3.50%4%9%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorpedo MoskvaFK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
Clean sheets448729
Failed to score4711325

Penalties

MetricTorpedo MoskvaFK Neftekhimik
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTorpedo MoskvaFK Neftekhimik
Wins23
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-01-4
Biggest losses1-43-01-53-2
Goals For3224
Goals Against4353

Model comparison

MetricTorpedo MoskvaFK Neftekhimik
Form45%55%
Att38%62%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h85%15%
Goals71%29%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Torpedo Moskva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.71 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Torpedo Moskva = 0.99 (league 1.22), FK Neftekhimik = 2.31 (league 1.04)

FK Neftekhimik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torpedo Moskva 0 3.7% 8.5% 9.8% 7.5% 4.3% 2.0%
1 3.7% 8.5% 9.7% 7.5% 4.3% 2.0%
2 1.8% 4.2% 4.8% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
3 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.8% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 63.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1