First League
— Russia
Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 16:30 •
Arena Khimki
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.24)
2.30 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.5% | 18.4% | 64.1% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.0%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| FK Neftekhimik | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | 0 | 3.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Torpedo Moskva | FK Neftekhimik |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 73% |
| Attack | 42% | 67% |
| Defense | 67% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Torpedo Moskva | FK Neftekhimik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 27% | 25% | 26% | 33% | 30% | 32% |
| Draws | 27% | 25% | 26% | 42% | 50% | 45% |
| Loses | 45% | 50% | 48% | 25% | 20% | 23% |
Torpedo MoskvaLDLLWLLDDLLWLDDWLDWLWWL
FK NeftekhimikDDDWLLDLDWWWDLDLDDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Torpedo Moskva | FK Neftekhimik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Torpedo Moskva | FK Neftekhimik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 65% | 77% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 43% | 27% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 22% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 9% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Torpedo Moskva | FK Neftekhimik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Torpedo Moskva | FK Neftekhimik |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Torpedo Moskva | FK Neftekhimik |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-5 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Torpedo Moskva | FK Neftekhimik |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.76 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.71 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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