Second League A - Division A Silver — Russia
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 • Zvezda Stadium
Not Started

Amkar

—

Dinamo Moskva II

Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.33) 1.62 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 23.7% 40.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Dinamo Moskva II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amkar 0 4.4% 7.1% 5.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.6% 10.7% 8.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.1% 6.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.5% 4.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Amkar carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 209 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Amkar +6.3, Dinamo Moskva II +1.4.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Amkar Elo 1639.8 · +6.3
vs
Dinamo Moskva II Elo 1466.1 · +1.4
Elo gapAmkar +209
Home / draw / away63% / 18% / 19%
Expected home share77%
Combined Elo3105.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3105.9
Elo home share 77%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Amkar Dinamo Moskva II
Overall Elo1639.81466.1
Form Elo1641.31485.3
Home / Away Elo1555.91482.3
Attack Elo1708.21461.1
Defense Elo15901359.6
Last 5 Elo change+6.3+1.4

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Amkar last-5 Elo change: +6.3; Dinamo Moskva II last-5 Elo change: +1.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmkarDinamo Moskva II
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack85%46%
Defense38%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amkar Dinamo Moskva II
HATHAT
Played369549
Wins67%33%44%40%50%44%
Draws33%33%33%40%25%33%
Loses0%33%22%20%25%22%
AmkarDLWDWLWDW
Dinamo Moskva IIDWWWLDWDL

League goals

Metric Amkar Dinamo Moskva II
HATHAT
GF total6121810717
GF avg2.02.02.02.01.81.9
GA total3111410414
GA avg1.01.81.62.01.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmkarDinamo Moskva II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%78%100%
1.567%33%67%44%
2.533%22%33%11%
3.511%22%11%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmkarDinamo Moskva II
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricAmkarDinamo Moskva II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAmkarDinamo Moskva II
Wins13
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-31-3
Biggest losses—5-20-21-0
Goals For3443
Goals Against2531

Model comparison

MetricAmkarDinamo Moskva II
Form67%33%
Att65%35%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%100%
Goals43%57%
Total54.2%45.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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