Dinamo Kirov vs Dinamo Stavropol

Second League A - Division A Silver — Russia

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 • VyatSShOR

Not Started

Dinamo Kirov

—

Dinamo Stavropol

Expected Goals

3.59 (league 1.33) 1.52 (league 1.11)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
60.3%	12.3%	11.6%

best score tips

3 - 1

7.1%

4 - 1

6.3%

2 - 1

5.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Dinamo Stavropol
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Dinamo Kirov	0	0.6%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	2.2%	3.3%	2.5%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	3.9%	5.9%	4.5%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
	3	4.6%	7.1%	5.4%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
	4	4.2%	6.3%	4.8%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%
	5	3.0%	4.5%	3.5%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Dinamo Kirov -0.6, Dinamo Stavropol -34.5.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Dinamo Kirov Elo 1519.9 · -0.6

Dinamo Stavropol Elo 1545.6 · -34.5

Elo gapDinamo Kirov +9

Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%

Expected home share51%

Combined Elo3065.5

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3065.5

Elo home share 51%

Match tone Strong Watch

Metric	Dinamo Kirov	Dinamo Stavropol
Overall Elo	1519.9	1545.6
Form Elo	1532.7	1506
Home / Away Elo	1505.1	1522
Attack Elo	1524.1	1517.8
Defense Elo	1501.4	1548.3
Last 5 Elo change	-0.6	-34.5

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Dinamo Kirov last-5 Elo change: -0.6; Dinamo Stavropol last-5 Elo change: -34.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Dinamo Kirov	Dinamo Stavropol
Played	5	5
Form	40%	27%
Attack	46%	54%
Defense	62%	15%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	11 \| 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%

FT probability

2.5+

62%

FT probability

3.5+

44%

FT probability

BTTS

70%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Dinamo Kirov			Dinamo Stavropol
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	3	6	9	5	4	9
Wins	33%	17%	22%	20%	0%	11%
Draws	33%	83%	67%	20%	25%	22%
Loses	33%	0%	11%	60%	75%	67%

Dinamo KirovDDDWLDWDD

Dinamo StavropolLDLLWLLDL

League goals

Metric	Dinamo Kirov			Dinamo Stavropol
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	5	8	13	3	5	8
GF avg	1.7	1.3	1.4	0.6	1.3	0.9
GA total	4	6	10	6	11	17
GA avg	1.3	1.0	1.1	1.2	2.8	1.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Dinamo Kirov		Dinamo Stavropol
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	67%	56%	67%	89%
1.5	33%	33%	22%	67%
2.5	22%	11%	0%	33%
3.5	22%	11%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Dinamo Kirov			Dinamo Stavropol
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	2	4	1	0	1
Failed to score	1	2	3	3	0	3

Penalties

Metric	Dinamo Kirov	Dinamo Stavropol
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	1

Streaks

Metric	Dinamo Kirov	Dinamo Stavropol
Wins	1	1
Draws	3	1
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	2-4	2-1	—
Biggest losses	1-4	—	0-2	3-1
Goals For	4	4	2	2
Goals Against	4	2	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Dinamo Kirov	Dinamo Stavropol
Form	60%	40%
Att	46%	54%
Def	69%	31%
Poisson Distribution	70%	30%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	59.0%	41.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Dinamo Kirov vs Dinamo Stavropol

Metric	Dinamo Kirov	Dinamo Stavropol
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	1