Anápolis vs Figueirense

Serie C — Brazil

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Jonas Duarte

Not Started

Anápolis

—

Figueirense

Expected Goals

0.98 (league 1.02) 2.61 (league 0.77)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
11.8%	15.8%	67.4%

best score tips

0 - 2

9.4%

1 - 2

9.2%

0 - 3

8.2%

Score & goals probability table

		Figueirense
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Anápolis	0	2.8%	7.2%	9.4%	8.2%	5.4%	2.8%
	1	2.7%	7.1%	9.2%	8.0%	5.2%	2.7%
	2	1.3%	3.4%	4.5%	3.9%	2.6%	1.3%
	3	0.4%	1.1%	1.5%	1.3%	0.8%	0.4%
	4	0.1%	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Anápolis -35.7, Figueirense +10.5.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Anápolis Elo 1507 · -35.7

Figueirense Elo 1526.8 · +10.5

Elo gapAnápolis +15

Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%

Expected home share52%

Combined Elo3033.8

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3033.8

Elo home share 52%

Match tone Upset Watch

Metric	Anápolis	Figueirense
Overall Elo	1507	1526.8
Form Elo	1452.7	1574
Home / Away Elo	1526.7	1488.1
Attack Elo	1490.8	1575.9
Defense Elo	1498.9	1576.7
Last 5 Elo change	-35.7	+10.5

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Anápolis last-5 Elo change: -35.7; Figueirense last-5 Elo change: +10.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Anápolis	Figueirense
Played	3	3
Form	0%	44%
Attack	8%	33%
Defense	42%	58%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	1 \| 0.3	4 \| 1.3
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 2.3	5 \| 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%

FT probability

2.5+

53%

FT probability

3.5+

38%

FT probability

BTTS

84%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Anápolis			Figueirense
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	1	2	3	2	1	3
Wins	0%	0%	0%	50%	0%	33%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	33%
Loses	100%	100%	100%	50%	0%	33%

AnápolisLLL

FigueirenseDLW

League goals

Metric	Anápolis			Figueirense
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	1	0	1	3	1	4
GF avg	1.0	0.0	0.3	1.5	1.0	1.3
GA total	2	5	7	4	1	5
GA avg	2.0	2.5	2.3	2.0	1.0	1.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Anápolis		Figueirense
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	33%	100%	100%	100%
1.5	0%	100%	33%	33%
2.5	0%	33%	0%	33%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Anápolis			Figueirense
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	0	0	0	0	0
Failed to score	0	2	2	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Anápolis	Figueirense
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	Anápolis	Figueirense
Wins	0	0
Draws	0	1
Losses	3	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	—	2-1	—
Biggest losses	1-2	3-0	1-3	—
Goals For	1	0	2	1
Goals Against	2	3	3	1

Model comparison

Metric	Anápolis	Figueirense
Form	0%	100%
Att	20%	80%
Def	42%	58%
Poisson Distribution	25%	75%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	38.5%	61.5%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Anápolis vs Figueirense

Metric	Anápolis	Figueirense
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0