Expected Goals
2.93 (league 1.02)
1.83 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.9% | 16.8% | 21.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
6.7%
3 - 1
6.6%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Inter De Limeira | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barra | 0 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Barra carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 61 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Barra 0.0, Inter De Limeira -1.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Barra
vs
Inter De Limeira
Elo gapBarra +61
Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo3069.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3069.5
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Barra | Inter De Limeira |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1547.7 | 1521.8 |
| Form Elo | 1547.7 | 1524.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1541.9 | 1536.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1499.6 | 1478.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1552.9 | 1571.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | 0.0 | -1.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Barra last-5 Elo change: 0.0; Inter De Limeira last-5 Elo change: -1.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barra | Inter De Limeira |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 44% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 83% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barra | Inter De Limeira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
BarraLWD
Inter De LimeiraLWD
League goals
| Metric | Barra | Inter De Limeira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barra | Inter De Limeira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barra | Inter De Limeira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barra | Inter De Limeira |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barra | Inter De Limeira |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barra | Inter De Limeira |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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