South Australia State League 1 — Australia
Sat, May 2 2026 • 05:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Fulham United

—

Adelaide Raiders

Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.87) 2.14 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.7% 20.7% 52.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 1
8.6%
1 - 3
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Adelaide Raiders
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fulham United 0 2.8% 6.1% 6.5% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
1 4.0% 8.6% 9.3% 6.6% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.5% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Fulham United carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 178 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Fulham United +23.6, Adelaide Raiders +58.6.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Fulham United Elo 1590.7 · +23.6
vs
Adelaide Raiders Elo 1448.2 · +58.6
Elo gapFulham United +178
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share74%
Combined Elo3038.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3038.9
Elo home share 74%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Fulham United Adelaide Raiders
Overall Elo1590.71448.2
Form Elo1601.71491.9
Home / Away Elo1541.61485.4
Attack Elo1695.41526.1
Defense Elo1559.51411.5
Last 5 Elo change+23.6+58.6

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Fulham United last-5 Elo change: +23.6; Adelaide Raiders last-5 Elo change: +58.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFulham UnitedAdelaide Raiders
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack82%76%
Defense65%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fulham United Adelaide Raiders
HATHAT
Played437347
Wins50%67%57%67%75%71%
Draws25%0%14%0%0%0%
Loses25%33%29%33%25%29%
Fulham UnitedLDLWWWW
Adelaide RaidersLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Fulham United Adelaide Raiders
HATHAT
GF total134177916
GF avg3.31.32.42.32.32.3
GA total5510134
GA avg1.31.71.40.30.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFulham UnitedAdelaide Raiders
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%86%29%
1.571%29%71%14%
2.529%29%43%14%
3.529%0%14%0%
4.514%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFulham UnitedAdelaide Raiders
HATHAT
Clean sheets101235
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricFulham UnitedAdelaide Raiders
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFulham UnitedAdelaide Raiders
Wins04
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-25-00-3
Biggest losses2-33-00-13-1
Goals For6253
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricFulham UnitedAdelaide Raiders
Form50%50%
Att52%48%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total41.0%59.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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