South Australia State League 1 — Australia
Sat, May 2 2026 • 05:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Salisbury United

—

Eastern United

Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.87) 1.03 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.7% 23.4% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Eastern United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salisbury United 0 6.1% 6.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.1% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.8% 5.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.6% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Salisbury United carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 60 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Salisbury United -36.7, Eastern United -58.6.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Salisbury United Elo 1462.9 · -36.7
vs
Eastern United Elo 1437.8 · -58.6
Elo gapSalisbury United +60
Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2900.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2900.7
Elo home share 59%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Salisbury United Eastern United
Overall Elo1462.91437.8
Form Elo1424.51392.9
Home / Away Elo1487.41472.3
Attack Elo1469.61493.9
Defense Elo1454.41403.4
Last 5 Elo change-36.7-58.6

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Salisbury United last-5 Elo change: -36.7; Eastern United last-5 Elo change: -58.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalisbury UnitedEastern United
Played55
Form20%0%
Attack18%29%
Defense35%12%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salisbury United Eastern United
HATHAT
Played437347
Wins25%0%14%33%0%14%
Draws25%0%14%0%0%0%
Loses50%100%71%67%100%86%
Salisbury UnitedDLWLLLL
Eastern UnitedWLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Salisbury United Eastern United
HATHAT
GF total4047310
GF avg1.00.00.62.30.81.4
GA total771481321
GA avg1.82.32.02.73.33.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalisbury UnitedEastern United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%57%100%
1.50%71%43%100%
2.50%29%14%57%
3.50%14%14%43%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalisbury UnitedEastern United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score033123

Penalties

MetricSalisbury UnitedEastern United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSalisbury UnitedEastern United
Wins11
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—5-2—
Biggest losses1-43-02-44-0
Goals For1052
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricSalisbury UnitedEastern United
Form100%0%
Att38%63%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.7%47.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Salisbury United vs Eastern United