Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 18:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.43) 0.25 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.3% 19.1% 4.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.9%
2 - 0
20.8%
3 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Prudentópolis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rio Branco PR 0 12.6% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 5.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.8% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Rio Branco PR -9.5, Prudentópolis -53.0.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Rio Branco PR Elo 1482.4 · -9.5
vs
Prudentópolis Elo 1505.3 · -53.0
Elo gapRio Branco PR +12
Home / draw / away37% / 29% / 34%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo2987.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2987.7
Elo home share 52%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Rio Branco PR Prudentópolis
Overall Elo1482.41505.3
Form Elo1475.31463.4
Home / Away Elo1497.31504.4
Attack Elo1508.61460.6
Defense Elo14831563.3
Last 5 Elo change-9.5-53.0

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Rio Branco PR last-5 Elo change: -9.5; Prudentópolis last-5 Elo change: -53.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRio Branco PRPrudentópolis
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack100%33%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rio Branco PR Prudentópolis
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%25%0%13%
Draws75%50%63%25%0%13%
Loses0%50%25%50%100%75%
Rio Branco PRWLDDDDLD
PrudentópolisLLWDLLLL

League goals

Metric Rio Branco PR Prudentópolis
HATHAT
GF total5813123
GF avg1.32.01.60.30.50.4
GA total211132810
GA avg0.52.81.60.52.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRio Branco PRPrudentópolis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%38%75%
1.525%38%0%38%
2.525%25%0%13%
3.513%13%0%0%
4.513%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRio Branco PRPrudentópolis
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score112325

Penalties

MetricRio Branco PRPrudentópolis
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRio Branco PRPrudentópolis
Wins11
Draws41
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-0
Biggest losses3-10-13-0
Goals For3611
Goals Against1613

Model comparison

MetricRio Branco PRPrudentópolis
Form80%20%
Att80%20%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total71.5%28.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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