Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.43)
0.63 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.6% | 38.8% | 27.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.5%
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Alay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Muras United | 0 | 25.5% | 16.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.7% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Muras United carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 172 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Muras United +22.8, Alay -8.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Muras United
vs
Alay
Elo gapMuras United +172
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo3201
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3201
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Muras United | Alay |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1669.1 | 1531.9 |
| Form Elo | 1692.6 | 1522.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1567.4 | 1529.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1694.1 | 1552 |
| Defense Elo | 1613.2 | 1544.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +22.8 | -8.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Muras United last-5 Elo change: +22.8; Alay last-5 Elo change: -8.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Muras United | Alay |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 53% |
| Attack | 60% | 47% |
| Defense | 73% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Muras United | Alay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 50% | 100% | 83% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 17% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Muras UnitedWWWDWW
AlayDWDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Muras United | Alay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Muras United | Alay | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 17% | 33% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Muras United | Alay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Muras United | Alay |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Muras United | Alay |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Muras United | Alay |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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