Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.25)
1.79 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.1% | 21.2% | 34.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| CSKA Pomir | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ravshan | 0 | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Ravshan carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 20 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ravshan +8.9, CSKA Pomir +18.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Ravshan
vs
CSKA Pomir
Elo gapRavshan +20
Home / draw / away38% / 28% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo3107.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3107.6
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Ravshan | CSKA Pomir |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1546.3 | 1561.3 |
| Form Elo | 1560.4 | 1585.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1512.3 | 1530.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1485.2 | 1544.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1563 | 1568.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.9 | +18.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Ravshan last-5 Elo change: +8.9; CSKA Pomir last-5 Elo change: +18.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ravshan | CSKA Pomir |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 55% | 45% |
| Defense | 64% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ravshan | CSKA Pomir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 50% | 67% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 40% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
RavshanDLDWW
CSKA PomirLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Ravshan | CSKA Pomir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ravshan | CSKA Pomir | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ravshan | CSKA Pomir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ravshan | CSKA Pomir |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ravshan | CSKA Pomir |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ravshan | CSKA Pomir |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 55.4% | 44.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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