Iraqi League — Iraq
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.19) 1.10 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.5% 32.3% 46.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.2%
0 - 0
17.5%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Al Minaa Basra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Najaf 0 17.5% 19.2% 10.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.3% 12.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl NajafAl Minaa Basra
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack25%33%
Defense25%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Najaf Al Minaa Basra
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins11%9%10%30%20%25%
Draws22%0%10%30%30%30%
Loses67%91%80%40%50%45%

Form: Al Najaf: LLLLWWLLDLLLLLLLDLLL • Al Minaa Basra: WLLWDWLLDLLLWDDDDLLW

League goals

Metric Al Najaf Al Minaa Basra
HATHAT
GF total671312719
GF avg0.70.60.71.20.71.0
GA total152237121123
GA avg1.72.01.91.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl NajafAl Minaa Basra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%85%55%75%
1.515%70%25%35%
2.50%20%10%5%
3.50%10%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl NajafAl Minaa Basra
HATHAT
Clean sheets213325
Failed to score4610369

Penalties

MetricAl NajafAl Minaa Basra
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAl NajafAl Minaa Basra
Wins21
Draws14
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-14-21-3
Biggest losses0-34-21-32-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricAl NajafAl Minaa Basra
Form17%83%
Att43%57%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total37.8%62.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al Minaa Basra and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ 10Bet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Najaf = 0.65 (league 1.19), Al Minaa Basra = 1.10 (league 1.08)

Al Minaa Basra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Najaf 0 17.5% 19.2% 10.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.3% 12.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.5% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 46.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1