Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.77)
0.40 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.3% | 32.6% | 13.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.5%
0 - 0
21.7%
2 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Operário PR U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Parana Clube U20 | 0 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.3% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Parana Clube U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 57 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Parana Clube U20 -19.7, Operário PR U20 -15.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Parana Clube U20
vs
Operário PR U20
Elo gapParana Clube U20 +57
Home / draw / away44% / 23% / 33%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2967.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2967.6
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Parana Clube U20 | Operário PR U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1494.9 | 1472.7 |
| Form Elo | 1493.5 | 1454.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1488.8 | 1468.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1480.2 | 1497 |
| Defense Elo | 1515.1 | 1413.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -19.7 | -15.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Parana Clube U20 last-5 Elo change: -19.7; Operário PR U20 last-5 Elo change: -15.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Parana Clube U20 | Operário PR U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 22% | 33% |
| Defense | 56% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Parana Clube U20 | Operário PR U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 25% | 25% | 40% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 75% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 67% | 50% |
Parana Clube U20WDWLDLDD
Operário PR U20WLLDDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Parana Clube U20 | Operário PR U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Parana Clube U20 | Operário PR U20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 38% | 25% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 25% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Parana Clube U20 | Operário PR U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Parana Clube U20 | Operário PR U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Parana Clube U20 | Operário PR U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Parana Clube U20 | Operário PR U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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