Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 20:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.84) 1.31 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 22.0% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 3.8% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.8% 6.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.6% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.7% 6.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridManchester City
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack60%45%
Defense60%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Manchester City
HATHAT
Played5510448
Wins80%60%70%75%50%63%
Draws0%0%0%0%25%13%
Loses20%40%30%25%25%25%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWLWLWLWW • Manchester City: WDWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Manchester City
HATHAT
GF total1212248715
GF avg2.42.42.42.01.81.9
GA total5813369
GA avg1.01.61.30.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridManchester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%88%63%
1.560%30%75%38%
2.530%20%13%13%
3.530%10%13%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridManchester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricReal MadridManchester City
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricReal MadridManchester City
Wins32
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-54-10-2
Biggest losses1-24-20-23-1
Goals For6542
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridManchester City
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Real Madrid or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.79 @ 1xBet
Draw3.79 @ 1xBet
Away2.05 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.43 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 1.95 (league 1.84), Manchester City = 1.31 (league 1.37)

Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 3.8% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.8% 6.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.6% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.7% 6.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 25.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1