Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 20:00 • Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.93 (league 1.84) 1.58 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.7% 16.1% 18.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
3 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tottenham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.2% 5.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
2 4.7% 7.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.3% 5.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.4% 5.3% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.0% 3.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico MadridTottenham
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack55%64%
Defense59%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid Tottenham
HATHAT
Played5510448
Wins80%20%50%100%25%63%
Draws0%40%20%0%50%25%
Loses20%40%30%0%25%13%

Form: Atletico Madrid: LWLWWWDLDW • Tottenham: WDDWLWWW

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid Tottenham
HATHAT
GF total1592410717
GF avg3.01.82.42.51.82.1
GA total61319077
GA avg1.22.61.90.01.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico MadridTottenham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%100%88%25%
1.570%50%75%25%
2.550%30%38%13%
3.520%10%13%13%
4.510%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico MadridTottenham
HATHAT
Clean sheets000426
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricAtletico MadridTottenham
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAtletico MadridTottenham
Wins31
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-34-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-05-3
Goals For5343
Goals Against2405

Model comparison

MetricAtletico MadridTottenham
Form40%60%
Att46%54%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 1xBet
Draw4.04 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 2.93 (league 1.84), Tottenham = 1.58 (league 1.37)

Tottenham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.2% 5.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
2 4.7% 7.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.3% 5.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.4% 5.3% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.0% 3.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.7% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 18.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1