Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 20:00 • New Balance Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.80) 2.19 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.9% 20.5% 47.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 2.1% 4.7% 5.1% 3.7% 2.0% 0.9%
1 3.5% 7.7% 8.5% 6.2% 3.4% 1.5%
2 2.9% 6.4% 7.0% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.6% 3.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtalantaBayern München
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack36%45%
Defense64%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atalanta Bayern München
HATHAT
Played5510448
Wins60%40%50%100%75%88%
Draws20%0%10%0%0%0%
Loses20%60%40%0%25%13%

Form: Atalanta: LWDWWWLLLW • Bayern München: WWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Atalanta Bayern München
HATHAT
GF total10414121022
GF avg2.00.81.43.02.52.8
GA total6713268
GA avg1.21.41.30.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtalantaBayern München
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%100%75%
1.550%30%88%13%
2.520%20%50%13%
3.510%10%25%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtalantaBayern München
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score134000

Penalties

MetricAtalantaBayern München
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAtalantaBayern München
Wins34
Draws10
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-01-5
Biggest losses2-34-03-1
Goals For4345
Goals Against3413

Model comparison

MetricAtalantaBayern München
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.3%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bayern München

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.20 @ Unibet
Draw4.85 @ 1xBet
Away1.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.60 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atalanta = 1.66 (league 1.80), Bayern München = 2.19 (league 1.37)

Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 2.1% 4.7% 5.1% 3.7% 2.0% 0.9%
1 3.5% 7.7% 8.5% 6.2% 3.4% 1.5%
2 2.9% 6.4% 7.0% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.6% 3.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.9% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 47.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1