Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 20:00 •
Etihad Stadium
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.80)
1.40 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.5% | 23.1% | 30.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester City | 0 | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manchester City | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 45% | 60% |
| Defense | 65% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manchester City | Real Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 75% | 50% | 63% | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Manchester City: WDWWLWLW • Real Madrid: WWWLWLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Manchester City | Real Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manchester City | Real Madrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 90% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 38% | 60% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 30% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 30% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manchester City | Real Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manchester City | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manchester City | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 6-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manchester City | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 1.77 (league 1.80), Real Madrid = 1.40 (league 1.37)
| Real Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester City | 0 | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 30.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1