Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 17:45 • Spotify Camp Nou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.84) 2.66 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.8% 18.2% 44.5%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.7%
1 - 2
6.2%
2 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 0.8% 2.2% 2.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9%
1 1.8% 4.7% 6.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9%
2 1.9% 5.0% 6.7% 5.9% 3.9% 2.1%
3 1.4% 3.6% 4.8% 4.2% 2.8% 1.5%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelonaNewcastle
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack69%88%
Defense50%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona Newcastle
HATHAT
Played4596511
Wins75%40%56%67%40%55%
Draws0%40%22%17%40%27%
Loses25%20%22%17%20%18%

Form: Barcelona: WLWDLWWWD • Newcastle: LWWWLDWDWWD

League goals

Metric Barcelona Newcastle
HATHAT
GF total131023131427
GF avg3.32.02.62.22.82.5
GA total510155611
GA avg1.32.01.70.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelonaNewcastle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%100%100%64%
1.567%44%64%36%
2.544%22%45%0%
3.533%0%18%0%
4.511%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelonaNewcastle
HATHAT
Clean sheets000314
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricBarcelonaNewcastle
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricBarcelonaNewcastle
Wins33
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-43-01-6
Biggest losses1-23-01-22-1
Goals For6436
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricBarcelonaNewcastle
Form48%52%
Att44%56%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Barcelona or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ 1xBet
Draw5.04 @ 1xBet
Away5.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.53.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Marathonbet
No2.85 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barcelona = 2.15 (league 1.84), Newcastle = 2.66 (league 1.37)

Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 0.8% 2.2% 2.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9%
1 1.8% 4.7% 6.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9%
2 1.9% 5.0% 6.7% 5.9% 3.9% 2.1%
3 1.4% 3.6% 4.8% 4.2% 2.8% 1.5%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 44.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1