Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 20:00 • Emirates Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.84) 0.82 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 28.6% 23.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 12.0% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.6% 12.8% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.2% 8.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenalBayer Leverkusen
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack59%27%
Defense77%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Played4596511
Wins100%80%89%17%60%36%
Draws0%20%11%67%20%45%
Loses0%0%0%17%20%18%

Form: Arsenal: WWWWWWWWD • Bayer Leverkusen: DDLWWDLWWDD

League goals

Metric Arsenal Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
GF total1212249716
GF avg3.02.42.71.51.41.5
GA total32511415
GA avg0.80.40.61.80.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenalBayer Leverkusen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%44%82%55%
1.589%11%55%36%
2.567%0%9%9%
3.511%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenalBayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricArsenalBayer Leverkusen
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricArsenalBayer Leverkusen
Wins82
Draws02
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-00-2
Biggest losses2-72-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against2172

Model comparison

MetricArsenalBayer Leverkusen
Form62%38%
Att68%32%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h80%20%
Goals71%29%
Total63.5%36.7%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ 1xBet
Draw5.71 @ Pinnacle
Away10.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.28 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal = 1.30 (league 1.84), Bayer Leverkusen = 0.82 (league 1.37)

Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 12.0% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.6% 12.8% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.2% 8.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 23.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1