Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 20:00 • Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.84) 1.71 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.2% 13.3% 14.2%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.6%
4 - 1
5.9%
3 - 2
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tottenham 0 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.3% 5.7% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.9% 6.6% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
4 3.4% 5.9% 5.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
5 2.4% 4.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTottenhamAtletico Madrid
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack75%88%
Defense38%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tottenham Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
Played4596511
Wins100%20%56%83%20%55%
Draws0%40%22%0%40%18%
Loses0%40%22%17%40%27%

Form: Tottenham: WDDWLWWWL • Atletico Madrid: LWLWWWDLDWW

League goals

Metric Tottenham Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
GF total1091920929
GF avg2.51.82.13.31.82.6
GA total0121281321
GA avg0.02.41.31.32.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTottenhamAtletico Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%33%91%100%
1.578%33%73%55%
2.533%22%55%27%
3.511%22%27%9%
4.50%22%18%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTottenhamAtletico Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets426000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricTottenhamAtletico Madrid
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricTottenhamAtletico Madrid
Wins33
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-25-12-3
Biggest losses5-21-24-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against0524

Model comparison

MetricTottenhamAtletico Madrid
Form53%47%
Att46%54%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total42.8%57.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.61 @ 188Bet
Draw4.02 @ 1xBet
Away2.82 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.34 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tottenham = 3.53 (league 1.84), Atletico Madrid = 1.71 (league 1.37)

Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tottenham 0 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.3% 5.7% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.9% 6.6% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
4 3.4% 5.9% 5.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
5 2.4% 4.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 14.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1