Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 20:00 • Allianz Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.84) 0.29 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.0% 13.6% 3.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.9%
1 - 0
17.4%
3 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 7.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.4% 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 5.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.1% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayern MünchenAtalanta
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack64%32%
Defense73%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayern München Atalanta
HATHAT
Played4596511
Wins100%80%89%50%40%45%
Draws0%0%0%17%0%9%
Loses0%20%11%33%60%45%

Form: Bayern München: WWWWLWWWW • Atalanta: LWDWWWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Bayern München Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total12162811415
GF avg3.03.23.11.80.81.4
GA total27912719
GA avg0.51.41.02.01.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayern MünchenAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%78%64%73%
1.589%11%45%36%
2.556%11%18%27%
3.533%0%9%18%
4.522%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayern MünchenAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score000134

Penalties

MetricBayern MünchenAtalanta
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBayern MünchenAtalanta
Wins43
Draws01
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-64-10-3
Biggest losses3-11-64-0
Goals For4643
Goals Against1364

Model comparison

MetricBayern MünchenAtalanta
Form80%20%
Att67%33%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total77.8%22.2%

Advice: Winner : Bayern München

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.43 @ 1xBet
Draw6.00 @ Unibet
Away8.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Betano
Under 2.53.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.47 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayern München = 2.28 (league 1.84), Atalanta = 0.29 (league 1.37)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 7.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.4% 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 5.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.1% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.0% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 3.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1