Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 17:45 • Europa-Park-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.57) 0.62 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 34.9% 23.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.7%
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Genk
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg 0 20.7% 12.8% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 12.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.4% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC FreiburgGenk
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack20%100%
Defense80%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freiburg Genk
HATHAT
Played4597613
Wins100%20%56%43%83%62%
Draws0%40%22%29%0%15%
Loses0%40%22%29%17%23%

Form: SC Freiburg: WDWWDWWLL • Genk: WLWLDWWLWWWDW

League goals

Metric SC Freiburg Genk
HATHAT
GF total641091524
GF avg1.50.81.11.32.51.8
GA total1458614
GA avg0.30.80.61.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC FreiburgGenk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%77%69%
1.533%0%54%23%
2.511%0%31%15%
3.50%0%15%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC FreiburgGenk
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score033213

Penalties

MetricSC FreiburgGenk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSC FreiburgGenk
Wins23
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-11-5
Biggest losses—1-01-21-0
Goals For2335
Goals Against1133

Model comparison

MetricSC FreiburgGenk
Form35%65%
Att15%85%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total46.8%53.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Genk and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 1xBet
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away6.05 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.11 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg = 0.96 (league 1.57), Genk = 0.62 (league 1.21)

Genk
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg 0 20.7% 12.8% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 12.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.4% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 23.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1