Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 17:45 • AFAS Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.64) 0.09 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.4% 20.2% 1.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.1%
2 - 0
24.0%
0 - 0
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sparta Praha
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 17.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.1% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 24.0% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ AlkmaarSparta Praha
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack64%43%
Defense93%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Alkmaar Sparta Praha
HATHAT
Played77146612
Wins86%43%64%83%50%67%
Draws14%0%7%17%0%8%
Loses0%57%29%0%50%25%

Form: AZ Alkmaar: LWWWWWLWLWWDLW • Sparta Praha: LWWWWLWLDWWW

League goals

Metric AZ Alkmaar Sparta Praha
HATHAT
GF total19102917623
GF avg2.71.42.12.81.01.9
GA total11213268
GA avg0.11.70.90.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ AlkmaarSparta Praha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%36%75%58%
1.557%21%58%8%
2.543%21%33%0%
3.521%14%25%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ AlkmaarSparta Praha
HATHAT
Clean sheets639415
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricAZ AlkmaarSparta Praha
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAZ AlkmaarSparta Praha
Wins54
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-34-01-2
Biggest losses—4-0—2-1
Goals For5342
Goals Against1412

Model comparison

MetricAZ AlkmaarSparta Praha
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.5%32.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.51 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 1.65 (league 1.64), Sparta Praha = 0.09 (league 1.16)

Sparta Praha
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 17.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.1% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 24.0% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.4% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 1.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1