Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 17:45 • Stadion Poznan
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.64) 0.99 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.3% 28.8% 29.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznan 0 10.9% 10.8% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.2% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLech PoznanShakhtar Donetsk
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack57%50%
Defense86%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lech Poznan Shakhtar Donetsk
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%25%100%63%
Draws25%0%13%50%0%25%
Loses0%50%25%25%0%13%

Form: Lech Poznan: WLLWDWWW • Shakhtar Donetsk: DWWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Lech Poznan Shakhtar Donetsk
HATHAT
GF total87154913
GF avg2.01.81.91.02.31.6
GA total268347
GA avg0.51.51.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLech PoznanShakhtar Donetsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%63%88%63%
1.563%25%63%25%
2.513%13%13%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLech PoznanShakhtar Donetsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricLech PoznanShakhtar Donetsk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLech PoznanShakhtar Donetsk
Wins13
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-00-2
Biggest losses—3-21-2—
Goals For4223
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricLech PoznanShakhtar Donetsk
Form57%43%
Att53%47%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Shakhtar Donetsk

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.69 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Superbet
No2.16 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lech Poznan = 1.22 (league 1.64), Shakhtar Donetsk = 0.99 (league 1.16)

Shakhtar Donetsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznan 0 10.9% 10.8% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.2% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 29.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1