Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 20:00 • epet ARENA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.96 (league 1.61) 0.35 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.0% 8.6% 2.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.9%
3 - 0
15.7%
4 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Praha 0 3.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.7% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.7% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.6% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSparta PrahaAZ Alkmaar
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack64%82%
Defense73%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sparta Praha AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Played67138715
Wins83%43%62%88%43%67%
Draws17%0%8%13%0%7%
Loses0%57%31%0%57%27%

Form: Sparta Praha: LWWWWLWLDWWWL • AZ Alkmaar: LWWWWWLWLWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Sparta Praha AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
GF total17724211031
GF avg2.81.01.82.61.42.1
GA total281021214
GA avg0.31.10.80.31.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSparta PrahaAZ Alkmaar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%62%80%40%
1.554%15%60%20%
2.531%0%40%20%
3.523%0%20%13%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSparta PrahaAZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Clean sheets415639
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricSparta PrahaAZ Alkmaar
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSparta PrahaAZ Alkmaar
Wins45
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-25-00-3
Biggest losses—2-1—4-0
Goals For4253
Goals Against1214

Model comparison

MetricSparta PrahaAZ Alkmaar
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ 1xBet
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away3.04 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sparta Praha = 2.96 (league 1.61), AZ Alkmaar = 0.35 (league 1.18)

AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Praha 0 3.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.7% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.7% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.6% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.0% · Draw 8.6% · Away win 2.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1