Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 20:00 •
epet ARENA
Expected Goals
2.93 (league 1.63)
0.36 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.9% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.0%
3 - 0
15.6%
4 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| AZ Alkmaar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sparta Praha | 0 | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.6% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sparta Praha | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 64% | 82% |
| Defense | 73% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sparta Praha | AZ Alkmaar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 83% | 43% | 62% | 88% | 43% | 67% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Loses | 0% | 57% | 31% | 0% | 57% | 27% |
Sparta PrahaLWWWWLWLDWWWL
AZ AlkmaarLWWWWWLWLWWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Sparta Praha | AZ Alkmaar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 10 | 31 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sparta Praha | AZ Alkmaar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 62% | 80% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 15% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 0% | 20% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sparta Praha | AZ Alkmaar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sparta Praha | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sparta Praha | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sparta Praha | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.36 @ 1xBet
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away3.04 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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