Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:00 • Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.16 (league 2.18) 0.86 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.0% 11.2% 6.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.5%
2 - 0
9.0%
3 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Watford U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland U21 0 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 7.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.5% 8.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.5% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.7% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSunderland U21Watford U21
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack63%38%
Defense71%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 39 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sunderland U21 Watford U21
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%25%57%100%0%57%
Draws0%25%14%0%33%14%
Loses0%50%29%0%67%29%

Form: Sunderland U21: LWWWDLW • Watford U21: LWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Sunderland U21 Watford U21
HATHAT
GF total9101911415
GF avg3.02.52.72.81.32.1
GA total38115712
GA avg1.02.01.61.32.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSunderland U21Watford U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%86%86%86%
1.571%43%86%43%
2.543%14%29%29%
3.529%14%14%14%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSunderland U21Watford U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricSunderland U21Watford U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSunderland U21Watford U21
Wins33
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-64-1—
Biggest losses—4-2—4-2
Goals For4642
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricSunderland U21Watford U21
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.8%38.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Sunderland U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Bet365
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away2.68 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Betfair
No2.78 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sunderland U21 = 3.16 (league 2.18), Watford U21 = 0.86 (league 1.51)

Watford U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland U21 0 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 7.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.5% 8.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.5% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.7% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.0% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 6.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1