Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.51)
0.99 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.6% | 27.1% | 26.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Skalica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Komárno | 0 | 9.3% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Komárno carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 42 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Komárno -46.0, Skalica +8.7.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Komárno
vs
Skalica
Elo gapKomárno +42
Home / draw / away42% / 25% / 33%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo3046.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3046.4
Elo home share
56%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Komárno | Skalica |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1526.7 | 1519.7 |
| Form Elo | 1502.6 | 1522.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1471.3 | 1462.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1563.8 | 1517.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1601.7 | 1543.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -46.0 | +8.7 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Komárno last-5 Elo change: -46.0; Skalica last-5 Elo change: +8.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Komárno | Skalica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 47% |
| Attack | 20% | 47% |
| Defense | 53% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Komárno | Skalica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 21% | 21% | 21% | 36% | 7% | 21% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 43% | 14% | 29% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 21% | 79% | 50% |
KomárnoLLLLWWLDDWWLDLWLDLLDDDWDLLLL
SkalicaDDWLDLLWLDDLDLLLDLLWLLWLWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Komárno | Skalica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 16 | 12 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Komárno | Skalica | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 75% | 57% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 50% | 32% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 18% | 7% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Komárno | Skalica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Komárno | Skalica |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Komárno | Skalica |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Komárno | Skalica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.02 @ Unibet
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.93 @ Betano
No1.91 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
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