Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.51)
2.25 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.2% | 20.0% | 43.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.5%
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Podbrezová | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zemplín Michalovce | 0 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Zemplín Michalovce +23.8, Podbrezová -65.3.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Zemplín Michalovce
vs
Podbrezová
Elo gapPodbrezová +5
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo3074.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3074.3
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1517.4 | 1556.9 |
| Form Elo | 1520.6 | 1536.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1499.6 | 1511.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1595.9 | 1734 |
| Defense Elo | 1421.9 | 1507.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +23.8 | -65.3 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Zemplín Michalovce last-5 Elo change: +23.8; Podbrezová last-5 Elo change: -65.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 0% |
| Attack | 27% | 20% |
| Defense | 53% | 7% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 43% | 36% | 39% | 50% | 29% | 39% |
| Draws | 14% | 21% | 18% | 7% | 14% | 11% |
| Loses | 43% | 43% | 43% | 43% | 57% | 50% |
Zemplín MichalovceDWLWDDLWWWLLDLWLLWDLWLLWWWLL
PodbrezováWLDWLDLWLDWLWLWLWLWWWWLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 15 | 37 | 26 | 24 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 25 | 21 | 46 | 20 | 25 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 29% | 25% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 11% | 21% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.40 @ Betfair
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.06 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ 888Sport
Under 2.52.38 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.50 @ Betfair
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League standings
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