Iraqi League — Iraq
Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.19) 1.68 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.6% 23.5% 41.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Newroz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baghdad 0 4.2% 7.1% 6.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.3% 10.6% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.7% 7.8% 6.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaghdadNewroz
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack21%57%
Defense29%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baghdad Newroz
HATHAT
Played11920111021
Wins27%22%25%36%40%38%
Draws27%11%20%0%10%5%
Loses45%67%55%64%50%57%

Form: Baghdad: LLWWLLWWWLDLDLLDDLLL • Newroz: WLLLLLLLDWWLWLLWWLWWL

League goals

Metric Baghdad Newroz
HATHAT
GF total12820111324
GF avg1.10.91.01.01.31.1
GA total151833131629
GA avg1.42.01.71.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaghdadNewroz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%85%67%76%
1.525%50%38%43%
2.55%20%10%14%
3.55%5%0%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaghdadNewroz
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score437527

Penalties

MetricBaghdadNewroz
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricBaghdadNewroz
Wins32
Draws21
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-12-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-00-24-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricBaghdadNewroz
Form18%82%
Att27%73%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total31.3%68.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Newroz

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baghdad = 1.48 (league 1.19), Newroz = 1.68 (league 1.08)

Newroz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baghdad 0 4.2% 7.1% 6.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.3% 10.6% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.7% 7.8% 6.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 41.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1