Iraqi League — Iraq
Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 20:15 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.19) 2.49 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.2% 15.5% 71.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.1%
0 - 3
10.0%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Al Shorta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosul 0 3.9% 9.7% 12.1% 10.0% 6.2% 3.1%
1 3.0% 7.3% 9.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.3%
2 1.1% 2.8% 3.4% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMosulAl Shorta
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack19%50%
Defense69%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mosul Al Shorta
HATHAT
Played81119101020
Wins25%36%32%100%40%70%
Draws13%36%26%0%20%10%
Loses63%27%42%0%40%20%

Form: Mosul: LWWLLWDDDLLLWWLLDWD • Al Shorta: WWWLWWLLWWWDDWWWWWWL

League goals

Metric Mosul Al Shorta
HATHAT
GF total71219211536
GF avg0.91.11.02.11.51.8
GA total14112551015
GA avg1.81.01.30.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMosulAl Shorta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%79%90%60%
1.532%37%50%15%
2.511%16%20%0%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMosulAl Shorta
HATHAT
Clean sheets044628
Failed to score358022

Penalties

MetricMosulAl Shorta
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricMosulAl Shorta
Wins26
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-01-7
Biggest losses1-33-0—2-1
Goals For2337
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricMosulAl Shorta
Form29%71%
Att27%73%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total31.0%69.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al Shorta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mosul = 0.75 (league 1.19), Al Shorta = 2.49 (league 1.09)

Al Shorta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosul 0 3.9% 9.7% 12.1% 10.0% 6.2% 3.1%
1 3.0% 7.3% 9.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.3%
2 1.1% 2.8% 3.4% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.2% · Draw 15.5% · Away win 71.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1