Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:00 • Parque Palermo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.11) 0.33 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 38.6% 13.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.3%
1 - 0
26.3%
2 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cerro Largo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Espanol 0 29.3% 9.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.3% 8.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.8% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCentral EspanolCerro Largo
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack100%33%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Central Espanol Cerro Largo
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins50%67%60%0%33%20%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%20%100%67%80%

Form: Central Espanol: WWWLD • Cerro Largo: WLLLL

League goals

Metric Central Espanol Cerro Largo
HATHAT
GF total246112
GF avg1.01.31.20.50.30.4
GA total202336
GA avg1.00.00.41.51.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCentral EspanolCerro Largo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%40%80%
1.540%0%0%40%
2.520%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCentral EspanolCerro Largo
HATHAT
Clean sheets033011
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricCentral EspanolCerro Largo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCentral EspanolCerro Largo
Wins31
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-3—0-1
Biggest losses0-1—1-22-0
Goals For2311
Goals Against1022

Model comparison

MetricCentral EspanolCerro Largo
Form77%23%
Att75%25%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h29%71%
Goals13%88%
Total57.3%42.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Central Espanol or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.99 @ 188Bet
Away2.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Central Espanol = 0.90 (league 1.11), Cerro Largo = 0.33 (league 0.91)

Cerro Largo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Espanol 0 29.3% 9.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.3% 8.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.8% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 38.6% · Away win 13.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1