First League — Russia
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 05:00 • Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.22) 1.11 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.6% 29.3% 35.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ska-khabarovsk 0 11.3% 12.4% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSka-khabarovskArsenal Tula
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack62%15%
Defense46%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ska-khabarovsk Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins33%33%33%17%33%25%
Draws50%25%38%58%33%46%
Loses17%42%29%25%33%29%

Form: Ska-khabarovsk: DWWDLLDLLDWWWLDWDLDDWWLD • Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLDLDDDLWWWDDDLL

League goals

Metric Ska-khabarovsk Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
GF total131326151530
GF avg1.11.11.11.31.31.3
GA total111627151429
GA avg0.91.31.11.31.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSka-khabarovskArsenal Tula
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%79%79%88%
1.525%25%38%33%
2.58%8%8%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSka-khabarovskArsenal Tula
HATHAT
Clean sheets415213
Failed to score246235

Penalties

MetricSka-khabarovskArsenal Tula
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricSka-khabarovskArsenal Tula
Wins33
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-10-3
Biggest losses0-23-01-22-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricSka-khabarovskArsenal Tula
Form73%27%
Att80%20%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ska-khabarovsk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Pinnacle
Away2.97 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ska-khabarovsk = 1.08 (league 1.22), Arsenal Tula = 1.11 (league 1.06)

Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ska-khabarovsk 0 11.3% 12.4% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.6% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 35.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1