First League — Russia
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:00 • Stadion Urozhay
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.23) 0.53 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.7% 33.2% 18.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.6%
0 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 20.0% 10.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.6% 11.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak KostromaShinnik Yaroslavl
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack50%33%
Defense42%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Kostroma Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins25%50%38%46%9%29%
Draws50%33%42%31%45%38%
Loses25%17%21%23%45%33%

Form: Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWWDWWWDDDLDWLLDLDDD • Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDDWLLDDWLWDLLWD

League goals

Metric Spartak Kostroma Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
GF total13223515621
GF avg1.11.81.51.20.50.9
GA total13162991322
GA avg1.11.31.20.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak KostromaShinnik Yaroslavl
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%92%58%58%
1.546%21%21%25%
2.517%8%4%8%
3.54%0%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak KostromaShinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Clean sheets0226410
Failed to score3254610

Penalties

MetricSpartak KostromaShinnik Yaroslavl
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricSpartak KostromaShinnik Yaroslavl
Wins41
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-44-11-2
Biggest losses0-23-20-23-0
Goals For3442
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricSpartak KostromaShinnik Yaroslavl
Form44%56%
Att60%40%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Spartak Kostroma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ 1xBet
Draw3.17 @ 1xBet
Away3.94 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.66 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Kostroma = 1.08 (league 1.23), Shinnik Yaroslavl = 0.53 (league 1.04)

Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 20.0% 10.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.6% 11.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.7% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 18.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1