First League — Russia
Mon, Mar 23 2026 • 16:00 • Arena Khimki
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.23) 0.57 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.3% 18.7% 9.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.3%
1 - 0
15.0%
3 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 7.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 8.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodina MoskvaChayka
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack32%32%
Defense84%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rodina Moskva Chayka
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%42%46%8%17%13%
Draws42%42%42%25%33%29%
Loses8%17%13%67%50%58%

Form: Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWLWDWWDWDWDDWWD • Chayka: WDDDLLLLLLLDDWLLLLLLDLWD

League goals

Metric Rodina Moskva Chayka
HATHAT
GF total17173491221
GF avg1.41.41.40.81.00.9
GA total71219272148
GA avg0.61.00.82.31.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodina MoskvaChayka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%58%79%
1.550%17%21%50%
2.58%8%8%38%
3.54%4%0%25%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodina MoskvaChayka
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512235
Failed to score2465510

Penalties

MetricRodina MoskvaChayka
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricRodina MoskvaChayka
Wins41
Draws33
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-51-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-64-0
Goals For3523
Goals Against3464

Model comparison

MetricRodina MoskvaChayka
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Rodina Moskva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 188Bet
Draw5.50 @ 1xBet
Away10.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ SBO
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Fonbet
No1.71 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rodina Moskva = 2.04 (league 1.23), Chayka = 0.57 (league 1.06)

Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 7.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 8.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.3% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 9.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1