Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 11:30 •
Football Academy Stadium
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.71)
0.83 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4% | 19.1% | 13.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Van | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ararat-Armenia | 0 | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Van |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 54% | 69% |
| Defense | 62% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Van | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 71% | 56% | 63% | 44% | 29% | 38% |
| Draws | 29% | 22% | 25% | 22% | 14% | 19% |
| Loses | 0% | 22% | 13% | 33% | 57% | 44% |
Form: Ararat-Armenia: DWWWDWDWWWWDWLWL • Van: DWLDLWLLLWLWWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Van | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ararat-Armenia | Van | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 75% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 25% | 31% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 0% | 19% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Van | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Van |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Van |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Van |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 63.0% | 37.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Ararat-Armenia or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ararat-Armenia = 2.16 (league 1.71), Van = 0.83 (league 1.19)
| Van | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ararat-Armenia | 0 | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.4% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 13.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1