FA Cup — England
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:30 • Vale Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.76) 0.31 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 49.2% 16.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
41.6%
1 - 0
23.6%
0 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 41.6% 12.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 7.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPort ValeSunderland
Played42
Form100%100%
Attack44%17%
Defense94%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 23 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.31 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Port Vale Sunderland
HATHAT
Played404022
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: Port Vale: WWWW • Sunderland: WW

League goals

Metric Port Vale Sunderland
HATHAT
GF total808033
GF avg2.00.02.00.01.51.5
GA total101011
GA avg0.30.00.30.00.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePort ValeSunderland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%100%50%
1.525%0%50%0%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPort ValeSunderland
HATHAT
Clean sheets303011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPort ValeSunderland
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPort ValeSunderland
Wins42
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1——1-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For5002
Goals Against1001

Model comparison

MetricPort ValeSunderland
Form67%33%
Att73%27%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total56.6%43.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Port Vale or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.30 @ Unibet
Away1.55 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Port Vale = 0.57 (league 1.76), Sunderland = 0.31 (league 1.45)

Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 41.6% 12.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 7.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 49.2% · Away win 16.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1