Segunda División — Chile
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 20:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Colchagua

—

Deportes Rengo

Expected Goals
3.80 (league 1.58) 0.05 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.9% 2.6% 0.1%
best score tips
3 - 0
19.5%
4 - 0
18.5%
2 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Deportes Rengo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchagua 0 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 19.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 14.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Colchagua carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 133 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Colchagua +26.3, Deportes Rengo -8.9.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Colchagua Elo 1512.5 · +26.3
vs
Deportes Rengo Elo 1414.5 · -8.9
Elo gapColchagua +133
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo2927
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2927
Elo home share 68%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Colchagua Deportes Rengo
Overall Elo1512.51414.5
Form Elo1548.71374.5
Home / Away Elo1499.51482.8
Attack Elo1515.61424.3
Defense Elo1511.41394.9
Last 5 Elo change+26.3-8.9

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Colchagua last-5 Elo change: +26.3; Deportes Rengo last-5 Elo change: -8.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColchaguaDeportes Rengo
Played31
Form78%0%
Attack38%0%
Defense88%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 20 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-7
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colchagua Deportes Rengo
HATHAT
Played123101
Wins100%50%67%0%—0%
Draws0%50%33%0%—0%
Loses0%0%0%100%—100%
ColchaguaWWD
Deportes RengoL

League goals

Metric Colchagua Deportes Rengo
HATHAT
GF total336000
GF avg3.01.52.00.00.00.0
GA total022202
GA avg0.01.00.72.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColchaguaDeportes Rengo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%0%100%
1.567%33%0%100%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColchaguaDeportes Rengo
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricColchaguaDeportes Rengo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricColchaguaDeportes Rengo
Wins20
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-1——
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For3200
Goals Against0220

Model comparison

MetricColchaguaDeportes Rengo
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Colchagua vs Deportes Rengo