Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Jonavos centrinis stadionas
Expected Goals
3.29 (league 1.52)
0.99 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
best score tips
3 - 0
8.2%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Transinvest 2 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jonava | 0 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Jonava carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 36 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Jonava +1.7, Transinvest 2 +11.3.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Jonava
vs
Transinvest 2
Elo gapJonava +36
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo3023.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3023.3
Elo home share
55%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Jonava | Transinvest 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1512 | 1511.3 |
| Form Elo | 1517.5 | 1525.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1469.1 | 1500.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1436.2 | 1504.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1564.1 | 1487.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +1.7 | +11.3 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Jonava last-5 Elo change: +1.7; Transinvest 2 last-5 Elo change: +11.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jonava | Transinvest 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 90% | 80% |
| Defense | 20% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jonava | Transinvest 2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
JonavaLDWWD
Transinvest 2DLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Jonava | Transinvest 2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jonava | Transinvest 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jonava | Transinvest 2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jonava | Transinvest 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jonava | Transinvest 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jonava | Transinvest 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.87 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 1xBet
Away3.64 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…