Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.52)
0.26 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.5% | 13.7% | 3.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
20.7%
1 - 0
18.4%
3 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
| BFA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Babrungas | 0 | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.7% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.4% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Babrungas carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 113 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Babrungas +39.8, BFA +17.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Babrungas
vs
BFA
Elo gapBabrungas +113
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo3194.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3194.4
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Babrungas | BFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1636.4 | 1558 |
| Form Elo | 1673.7 | 1568.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1548.3 | 1500.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1725.8 | 1534.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1552.9 | 1540.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +39.8 | +17.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Babrungas last-5 Elo change: +39.8; BFA last-5 Elo change: +17.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Babrungas | BFA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 67% |
| Attack | 63% | 44% |
| Defense | 88% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Babrungas | BFA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
BabrungasWWWWWW
BFALWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Babrungas | BFA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Babrungas | BFA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Babrungas | BFA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Babrungas | BFA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Babrungas | BFA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Babrungas | BFA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 62.5% | 37.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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