Sat, May 2 2026 • 11:00 •
Garliavos Adomo Mitkaus mokyklos stadionas
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.52)
0.46 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0% | 19.6% | 8.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
17.0%
3 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Ekranas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Garliava | 0 | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 8.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.0% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Garliava carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 165 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Garliava -1.1, Ekranas -44.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Garliava
vs
Ekranas
Elo gapGarliava +165
Home / draw / away59% / 18% / 23%
Expected home share72%
Combined Elo2879.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2879.1
Elo home share
72%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Garliava | Ekranas |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1504.4 | 1374.7 |
| Form Elo | 1504.5 | 1334.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1503 | 1472.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1489.9 | 1525.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1526.1 | 1299.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -1.1 | -44.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Garliava last-5 Elo change: -1.1; Ekranas last-5 Elo change: -44.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Garliava | Ekranas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 0% |
| Attack | 38% | 25% |
| Defense | 63% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Garliava | Ekranas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
GarliavaWWDLDL
EkranasLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Garliava | Ekranas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Garliava | Ekranas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 0% | 83% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Garliava | Ekranas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Garliava | Ekranas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Garliava | Ekranas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Garliava | Ekranas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 67.2% | 33.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…