1 Lyga — Lithuania
Sat, May 2 2026 • 12:00 • Sirvintu stadionas
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.52) 3.91 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 9.7% 62.4%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.0%
1 - 4
6.9%
1 - 2
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Minija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Transinvest 2 0 0.5% 2.1% 4.1% 5.3% 5.2% 4.1%
1 0.7% 2.8% 5.4% 7.0% 6.9% 5.4%
2 0.5% 1.8% 3.6% 4.6% 4.5% 3.6%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Transinvest 2 +4.4, Minija +47.9.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Transinvest 2 Elo 1498.6 · +4.4
vs
Minija Elo 1524.5 · +47.9
Elo gapTransinvest 2 +9
Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo3023.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3023.1
Elo home share 51%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Transinvest 2 Minija
Overall Elo1498.61524.5
Form Elo14971569.7
Home / Away Elo1503.91543.5
Attack Elo1492.71510
Defense Elo1458.41515.6
Last 5 Elo change+4.4+47.9

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Transinvest 2 last-5 Elo change: +4.4; Minija last-5 Elo change: +47.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTransinvest 2Minija
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack31%94%
Defense38%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 115 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Transinvest 2 Minija
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins33%33%33%100%100%100%
Draws67%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%67%33%0%0%0%
Transinvest 2DLWWDL
MinijaWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Transinvest 2 Minija
HATHAT
GF total62812719
GF avg2.00.71.33.03.53.2
GA total5813224
GA avg1.72.72.20.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTransinvest 2Minija
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%100%50%
1.550%67%100%17%
2.517%50%83%0%
3.50%17%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTransinvest 2Minija
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricTransinvest 2Minija
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTransinvest 2Minija
Wins26
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-00-4
Biggest losses—4-0——
Goals For3244
Goals Against3412

Model comparison

MetricTransinvest 2Minija
Form32%68%
Att25%75%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total27.3%72.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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