Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.65)
0.57 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.9% | 28.2% | 15.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.8%
0 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| FK Mladost Omoljica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sloboda DT | 0 | 14.6% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Sloboda DT carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 82 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sloboda DT -3.7, FK Mladost Omoljica -6.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Sloboda DT
vs
FK Mladost Omoljica
Elo gapSloboda DT +82
Home / draw / away49% / 21% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2942.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2942.2
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Sloboda DT | FK Mladost Omoljica |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1494.7 | 1447.5 |
| Form Elo | 1480.8 | 1438.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1511.4 | 1465.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1509.6 | 1448.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1535.3 | 1470.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -3.7 | -6.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Sloboda DT last-5 Elo change: -3.7; FK Mladost Omoljica last-5 Elo change: -6.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sloboda DT | FK Mladost Omoljica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 29% | 36% |
| Defense | 71% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sloboda DT | FK Mladost Omoljica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 27% | 17% | 22% | 42% | 9% | 26% |
| Draws | 45% | 33% | 39% | 8% | 18% | 13% |
| Loses | 27% | 50% | 39% | 50% | 73% | 61% |
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FK Mladost OmoljicaLLLLDDLLWLLWLDWLLWLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Sloboda DT | FK Mladost Omoljica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 16 | 18 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sloboda DT | FK Mladost Omoljica | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 83% | 61% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 35% | 26% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 9% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sloboda DT | FK Mladost Omoljica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sloboda DT | FK Mladost Omoljica |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sloboda DT | FK Mladost Omoljica |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 4-5 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sloboda DT | FK Mladost Omoljica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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