Defensores de Vilelas vs Juventud Antoniana

Torneo Federal A — Argentina

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 20:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

home	draw	away
9.3%	18.7%	70.2%

		Juventud Antoniana
Defensores de Vilelas	0	7.2%	14.8%	15.1%	10.4%	5.3%	2.2%
1	4.2%	8.6%	8.8%	6.0%	3.1%	1.3%
2	1.2%	2.5%	2.5%	1.7%	0.9%	0.4%
3	0.2%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Home lean

Defensores de Vilelas carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 34 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Defensores de Vilelas +6.6, Juventud Antoniana +8.6.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone

Defensores de Vilelas Elo 1506.6 · +6.6

Juventud Antoniana Elo 1507.3 · +8.6

Elo gapDefensores de Vilelas +34

Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%

Expected home share55%

Combined Elo3013.9

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home lean

Confidence band Lean confidence

Upset risk Medium-high

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3013.9

Elo home share 55%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Defensores de Vilelas	Juventud Antoniana
Overall Elo	1506.6	1507.3
Form Elo	1513.6	1511.1
Home / Away Elo	1506.3	1454.8
Attack Elo	1520.4	1496.2
Defense Elo	1498.3	1554
Last 5 Elo change	+6.6	+8.6

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Defensores de Vilelas last-5 Elo change: +6.6; Juventud Antoniana last-5 Elo change: +8.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Defensores de Vilelas	Juventud Antoniana
Played	5	4
Form	47%	58%
Attack	100%	75%
Defense	0%	50%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	6 \| 1.5
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	4 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%

FT probability

2.5+

52%

FT probability

3.5+

37%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Defensores de Vilelas			Juventud Antoniana
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	3	5	2	2	4
Wins	50%	33%	40%	50%	50%	50%
Draws	50%	0%	20%	0%	50%	25%
Loses	0%	67%	40%	50%	0%	25%

Defensores de VilelasLWWDL

Juventud AntonianaWWDL

League goals

Metric	Defensores de Vilelas			Juventud Antoniana
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	3	6	9	3	3	6
GF avg	1.5	2.0	1.8	1.5	1.5	1.5
GA total	2	6	8	3	1	4
GA avg	1.0	2.0	1.6	1.5	0.5	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Defensores de Vilelas		Juventud Antoniana
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	100%	80%	75%	75%
1.5	40%	80%	50%	25%
2.5	20%	0%	25%	0%
3.5	20%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Defensores de Vilelas			Juventud Antoniana
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	0	1	1
Failed to score	0	0	0	0	1	1

Penalties

Metric	Defensores de Vilelas	Juventud Antoniana
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	Defensores de Vilelas	Juventud Antoniana
Wins	2	2
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	1-0	2-4	2-1	1-3
Biggest losses	—	2-1	1-2	—
Goals For	2	4	2	3
Goals Against	2	2	2	1

Model comparison

Metric	Defensores de Vilelas	Juventud Antoniana
Form	50%	50%
Att	60%	40%
Def	33%	67%
Poisson Distribution	24%	76%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	41.8%	58.3%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Defensores de Vilelas vs Juventud Antoniana

Metric	Defensores de Vilelas	Juventud Antoniana
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Defensores de Vilelas vs Juventud Antoniana