Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 18:30 • Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.27) 0.05 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.9% 3.3% 0.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
20.4%
4 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Circulo Deportivo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0 2.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 17.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Olimpo Bahia Blanca carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 144 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Olimpo Bahia Blanca +38.6, Circulo Deportivo -27.3.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Elo 1564.7 · +38.6
vs
Circulo Deportivo Elo 1455.9 · -27.3
Elo gapOlimpo Bahia Blanca +144
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3020.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3020.6
Elo home share 70%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Olimpo Bahia Blanca Circulo Deportivo
Overall Elo1564.71455.9
Form Elo1608.61421.5
Home / Away Elo1523.11476.3
Attack Elo1472.91406.6
Defense Elo1634.51518.8
Last 5 Elo change+38.6-27.3

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Olimpo Bahia Blanca last-5 Elo change: +38.6; Circulo Deportivo last-5 Elo change: -27.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOlimpo Bahia BlancaCirculo Deportivo
Played44
Form100%25%
Attack100%50%
Defense100%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.52 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 08 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Olimpo Bahia Blanca Circulo Deportivo
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%100%100%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%50%100%75%
Olimpo Bahia BlancaWWWW
Circulo DeportivoLWLL

League goals

Metric Olimpo Bahia Blanca Circulo Deportivo
HATHAT
GF total336202
GF avg1.51.51.51.00.00.5
GA total000268
GA avg0.00.00.01.03.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOlimpo Bahia BlancaCirculo Deportivo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%25%100%
1.550%0%25%50%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOlimpo Bahia BlancaCirculo Deportivo
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricOlimpo Bahia BlancaCirculo Deportivo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricOlimpo Bahia BlancaCirculo Deportivo
Wins41
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-1—
Biggest losses——0-14-0
Goals For2220
Goals Against0014

Model comparison

MetricOlimpo Bahia BlancaCirculo Deportivo
Form80%20%
Att75%25%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h60%40%
Goals54%46%
Total67.3%32.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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