Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.27)
0.05 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 81.9% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
20.4%
4 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Circulo Deportivo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 0 | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 20.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 17.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Olimpo Bahia Blanca carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 144 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Olimpo Bahia Blanca +38.6, Circulo Deportivo -27.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
vs
Circulo Deportivo
Elo gapOlimpo Bahia Blanca +144
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3020.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3020.6
Elo home share
70%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | Circulo Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1564.7 | 1455.9 |
| Form Elo | 1608.6 | 1421.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1523.1 | 1476.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1472.9 | 1406.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1634.5 | 1518.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +38.6 | -27.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Olimpo Bahia Blanca last-5 Elo change: +38.6; Circulo Deportivo last-5 Elo change: -27.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | Circulo Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 100% | 25% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 100% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | Circulo Deportivo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Olimpo Bahia BlancaWWWW
Circulo DeportivoLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | Circulo Deportivo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | Circulo Deportivo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 25% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | Circulo Deportivo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | Circulo Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | Circulo Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | Circulo Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 67.3% | 32.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
