Argentino Monte Maíz vs Cipolletti

Torneo Federal A — Argentina

Sun, May 3 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Modesto Marrone

Not Started

home	draw	away
18.1%	33.5%	48.3%

		Cipolletti
Argentino Monte Maíz	0	20.4%	21.7%	11.5%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
1	10.7%	11.4%	6.1%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
2	2.8%	3.0%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%
3	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Home lean

Argentino Monte Maíz carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 32 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Argentino Monte Maíz -5.6, Cipolletti +28.9.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone

Argentino Monte Maíz Elo 1540.6 · -5.6

Cipolletti Elo 1543.3 · +28.9

Elo gapArgentino Monte Maíz +32

Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%

Expected home share55%

Combined Elo3083.9

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home lean

Confidence band Lean confidence

Upset risk Medium-high

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3083.9

Elo home share 55%

Match tone Upset Watch

Metric	Argentino Monte Maíz	Cipolletti
Overall Elo	1540.6	1543.3
Form Elo	1539.2	1561.9
Home / Away Elo	1546.1	1510.3
Attack Elo	1446.7	1519.3
Defense Elo	1574.5	1584.7
Last 5 Elo change	-5.6	+28.9

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Argentino Monte Maíz last-5 Elo change: -5.6; Cipolletti last-5 Elo change: +28.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Argentino Monte Maíz	Cipolletti
Played	5	5
Form	40%	73%
Attack	33%	100%
Defense	50%	33%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	9 \| 1.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%

FT probability

2.5+

35%

FT probability

3.5+

25%

FT probability

BTTS

51%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Argentino Monte Maíz			Cipolletti
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	3	5	3	3	6
Wins	0%	33%	20%	67%	33%	50%
Draws	100%	33%	60%	33%	33%	33%
Loses	0%	33%	20%	0%	33%	17%

Argentino Monte MaízDDLDW

CipollettiLWDDWW

League goals

Metric	Argentino Monte Maíz			Cipolletti
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	0	2	2	6	4	10
GF avg	0.0	0.7	0.4	2.0	1.3	1.7
GA total	0	3	3	2	5	7
GA avg	0.0	1.0	0.6	0.7	1.7	1.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Argentino Monte Maíz		Cipolletti
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	20%	40%	100%	83%
1.5	20%	20%	50%	17%
2.5	0%	0%	17%	17%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Argentino Monte Maíz			Cipolletti
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	1	3	1	0	1
Failed to score	2	2	4	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Argentino Monte Maíz	Cipolletti
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Argentino Monte Maíz	Cipolletti
Wins	0	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	1	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	1-2	3-0	1-2
Biggest losses	—	2-0	—	3-1
Goals For	0	2	3	2
Goals Against	0	2	1	3

Model comparison

Metric	Argentino Monte Maíz	Cipolletti
Form	35%	65%
Att	18%	82%
Def	57%	43%
Poisson Distribution	0%	0%
H2h	75%	25%
Goals	88%	13%
Total	54.6%	45.6%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Argentino Monte Maíz vs Cipolletti

Metric	Argentino Monte Maíz	Cipolletti
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Argentino Monte Maíz vs Cipolletti