Sun, May 3 2026 • 20:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.29)
3.07 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | 11.2% | 73.4% |
best score tips
0 - 3
10.3%
0 - 2
10.1%
1 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Escobar | 0 | 2.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Atletico Escobar -21.6, Defensores de Belgrano VR +14.9.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Atletico Escobar
vs
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Elo gapAtletico Escobar +6
Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo2965.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2965.8
Elo home share
51%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Atletico Escobar | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1468.5 | 1497.3 |
| Form Elo | 1448.3 | 1514.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1490 | 1491.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1487.2 | 1456.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1462.8 | 1533.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -21.6 | +14.9 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Atletico Escobar last-5 Elo change: -21.6; Defensores de Belgrano VR last-5 Elo change: +14.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Escobar | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 83% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Escobar | Defensores de Belgrano VR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 17% | 75% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 75% | 67% | 0% | 50% | 17% |
Atletico EscobarLDLLLW
Defensores de Belgrano VRWWLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Escobar | Defensores de Belgrano VR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Escobar | Defensores de Belgrano VR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 100% | 100% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 67% | 67% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Escobar | Defensores de Belgrano VR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Escobar | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Escobar | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Escobar | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 22% | 78% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 32.3% | 68.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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