Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 22:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started
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RCA

Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.46) 1.16 (league 1.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 25.5% 28.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
RCA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Britannia 0 6.9% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.4% 12.1% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.2% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Britannia carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 117 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Britannia +25.5, RCA -24.1.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Britannia Elo 1587.9 · +25.5
vs
RCA Elo 1506.2 · -24.1
Elo gapBritannia +117
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo3094.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3094.1
Elo home share 66%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Britannia RCA
Overall Elo1587.91506.2
Form Elo1603.21499.9
Home / Away Elo1526.31508.4
Attack Elo1545.21578.3
Defense Elo1598.81482.6
Last 5 Elo change+25.5-24.1

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Britannia last-5 Elo change: +25.5; RCA last-5 Elo change: -24.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBritanniaRCA
Played55
Form100%7%
Attack53%40%
Defense87%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Britannia RCA
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins50%100%79%43%29%36%
Draws17%0%7%14%0%7%
Loses33%0%14%43%71%57%
BritanniaWWWDWLLWWWWWWW
RCALWWLWWWLLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Britannia RCA
HATHAT
GF total81826161026
GF avg1.32.31.92.31.41.9
GA total9514121224
GA avg1.50.61.01.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBritanniaRCA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%57%86%100%
1.543%21%43%50%
2.521%7%29%21%
3.514%7%7%0%
4.57%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBritanniaRCA
HATHAT
Clean sheets246000
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricBritanniaRCA
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBritanniaRCA
Wins33
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-57-11-3
Biggest losses2-5—1-33-2
Goals For2573
Goals Against5233

Model comparison

MetricBritanniaRCA
Form94%6%
Att57%43%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total76.0%24.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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