Sun, May 3 2026 • 12:00 •
Nature Energy Park
Expected Goals
2.84 (league 1.67)
1.84 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.0% | 17.2% | 22.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
6.9%
3 - 1
6.5%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Silkeborg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Odense | 0 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Odense carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 85 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Odense +10.3, Silkeborg +24.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Odense
vs
Silkeborg
Elo gapOdense +85
Home / draw / away49% / 20% / 31%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo3085
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3085
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Odense | Silkeborg |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1567.5 | 1517.5 |
| Form Elo | 1570.9 | 1531.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1527.6 | 1498 |
| Attack Elo | 1674.3 | 1616.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1492.6 | 1410.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +10.3 | +24.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Odense last-5 Elo change: +10.3; Silkeborg last-5 Elo change: +24.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Odense | Silkeborg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 89% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Odense | Silkeborg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 50% | 27% | 38% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Draws | 21% | 27% | 24% | 27% | 14% | 21% |
| Loses | 29% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 57% | 48% |
OdenseDWLWLDLLWLDWLWDDWWLLDLWDWLWLW
SilkeborgLLLWWLLWDDLWWLDLDLLLLLDWLWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Odense | Silkeborg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 21 | 47 | 18 | 19 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 26 | 28 | 54 | 22 | 35 | 57 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Odense | Silkeborg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 86% | 62% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 52% | 41% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 24% | 21% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 17% | 3% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Odense | Silkeborg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Odense | Silkeborg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Odense | Silkeborg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-4 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-1 | 0-4 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Odense | Silkeborg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.80 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ Unibet
Away4.10 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.85 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Betano
No2.70 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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